Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:41 PM to 11:10 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 10:41 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.3676. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:10 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

3.0519.8336.61Sep 16, 10:41 PM ET11:10 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:41 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

3.0519.8336.61Sep 16, 10:41 PM ET11:10 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:41 PM ET37.3676
Projected value at 11:10 PM ET0.796436
Actual value at 11:10 PM ET8.72426
Projected change across the window-36.5712
Actual change across the window-28.6434
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.28×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.28 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (11:04 PM ET), where they sat 1.2138 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (10:42 PM ET) with a gap of 20.3764. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (10:59 PM ET), a move of -5.00368. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:42 PM18.491338.8676+20.3764
610:47 PM14.619123.0294+8.41034
1210:53 PM10.179515.5007+5.32126
1810:59 PM6.258229.02132+2.7631
2411:05 PM2.505586.73309+4.22751
2911:10 PM0.7964368.72426+7.92783

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.