Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 10:36 PM to 11:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 10:36 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.961. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.08314.6128.14Sep 16, 10:36 PM ET11:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:36 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.08314.6128.14Sep 16, 10:36 PM ET11:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:36 PM ET29.961
Projected value at 11:05 PM ET-0.734364
Actual value at 11:05 PM ET12.0978
Projected change across the window-30.6954
Actual change across the window-17.8632
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.72×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.72 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (10:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.24557 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:36 PM ET) with a gap of 22.5978. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (10:50 PM ET), a move of -5.00368. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:37 PM6.1021727.414+21.3118
610:42 PM3.9219318.0779+14.156
1210:48 PM1.6534616.1426+14.4892
1810:54 PM0.6184711.79926+1.18079
2411:00 PM0.1046258.23456+8.12993
2911:05 PM-0.73436412.0978+12.8322

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.