Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 8:20 PM to 8:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -132.171. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-122.7-52.118.49Sep 16, 8:20 PM ET8:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-122.7-52.118.49Sep 16, 8:20 PM ET8:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:20 PM ET-132.171
Projected value at 8:49 PM ET1.68633
Actual value at 8:49 PM ET-2.57868
Projected change across the window+133.857
Actual change across the window+129.592
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (8:44 PM ET), where they sat 1.97129 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:20 PM ET) with a gap of 125.74. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (8:22 PM ET), a move of +16.9971. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:21 PM-3.68613-118.943-115.257
68:26 PM-0.264077-76.3213-76.0572
128:32 PM0.652638-115.931-116.584
188:38 PM1.72364-63.1912-64.9148
248:44 PM3.752975.72426+1.97129
298:49 PM1.68633-2.57868-4.26501

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.