Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 7:09 AM to 7:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 7:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 29.7699. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.8638.70627.28Sep 16, 7:09 AM ET7:38 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.8638.70627.28Sep 16, 7:09 AM ET7:38 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:09 AM ET29.7699
Projected value at 7:38 AM ET-1.35782
Actual value at 7:38 AM ET-12.1382
Projected change across the window-31.1277
Actual change across the window-41.9081
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (7:24 AM ET), where they sat 0.180019 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:09 AM ET) with a gap of 26.0529. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (7:11 AM ET), a move of -4.14779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:10 AM1.3432226.1772+24.834
67:15 AM-1.0601511.5346+12.5947
127:21 AM-1.276294.14118+5.41747
187:27 AM-2.94057-4.74265-1.80208
247:33 AM-4.36753-8.06691-3.69939
297:38 AM-1.35782-12.1382-10.7804

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.