Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 7:08 AM to 7:37 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 7:08 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.1772. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:37 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.086.9123.9Sep 16, 7:08 AM ET7:37 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:08 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.086.9123.9Sep 16, 7:08 AM ET7:37 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:08 AM ET26.1772
Projected value at 7:37 AM ET-1.06845
Actual value at 7:37 AM ET-12.0191
Projected change across the window-27.2457
Actual change across the window-38.1963
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.71×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.71 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (7:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.0634854 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:08 AM ET) with a gap of 20.6588. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:09 AM ET), a move of -4.14779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:09 AM3.3570122.0294+18.6724
67:14 AM-0.61022911.4544+12.0646
127:20 AM-0.6548040.756618+1.41142
187:26 AM-1.54971-6.39191-4.8422
247:32 AM-2.67405-8.40809-5.73404
297:37 AM-1.06845-12.0191-10.9507

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.