Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 7:06 AM to 7:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 7:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 18.836. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.933.01916.96Sep 16, 7:06 AM ET7:35 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.933.01916.96Sep 16, 7:06 AM ET7:35 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:06 AM ET18.836
Projected value at 7:35 AM ET0.221274
Actual value at 7:35 AM ET-12.5926
Projected change across the window-18.6148
Actual change across the window-31.4287
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 9 (7:14 AM ET), where they sat 1.2825 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (7:31 AM ET) with a gap of 13.264. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (7:07 AM ET), a move of -3.88529. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:07 AM9.0815314.9507+5.8692
67:12 AM7.4998911.4588+3.95894
127:18 AM5.35057-1.48971-6.84027
187:24 AM4.03294-8.21029-12.2432
247:30 AM1.1898-11.525-12.7148
297:35 AM0.221274-12.5926-12.8139

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.