Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 3:32 AM to 4:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 3:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 28.0544. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.13219.8437.55Sep 16, 3:32 AM ET4:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.13219.8437.55Sep 16, 3:32 AM ET4:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:32 AM ET28.0544
Projected value at 4:01 AM ET-0.246633
Actual value at 4:01 AM ET5.20588
Projected change across the window-28.301
Actual change across the window-22.8485
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.24×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.24 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (4:01 AM ET), where they sat 5.45252 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (3:36 AM ET) with a gap of 35.4615. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (3:33 AM ET), a move of +5.29706. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:33 AM5.723133.3515+27.6284
63:38 AM3.8486437.6728+33.8242
123:44 AM3.9398226.1934+22.2536
183:50 AM2.5990319.4529+16.8539
243:56 AM0.42039417.461+17.0406
294:01 AM-0.2466335.20588+5.45252

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.