Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 3:30 AM to 3:59 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 3:30 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 33.3515. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:59 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.38919.9837.57Sep 16, 3:30 AM ET3:59 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:30 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.38919.9837.57Sep 16, 3:30 AM ET3:59 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:30 AM ET33.3515
Projected value at 3:59 AM ET0.181968
Actual value at 3:59 AM ET5.58162
Projected change across the window-33.1695
Actual change across the window-27.7699
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.19×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.19 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (3:58 AM ET), where they sat 5.0369 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (3:33 AM ET) with a gap of 35.9477. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (3:31 AM ET), a move of +5.18971. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:31 AM4.6375238.5412+33.9037
63:36 AM2.8743936.1551+33.2808
123:42 AM3.1640722.1051+18.9411
183:48 AM2.8824220.6544+17.772
243:54 AM0.84697413.5868+12.7398
293:59 AM0.1819685.58162+5.39965

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.