Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 3:26 AM to 3:55 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 38.8426. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:55 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.74219.1236.51Sep 16, 3:26 AM ET3:55 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:26 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.74219.1236.51Sep 16, 3:26 AM ET3:55 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:26 AM ET38.8426
Projected value at 3:55 AM ET-0.592835
Actual value at 3:55 AM ET5.28824
Projected change across the window-39.4355
Actual change across the window-33.5544
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (3:50 AM ET), where they sat 3.95938 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (3:26 AM ET) with a gap of 31.4588. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (3:34 AM ET), a move of -4.08824. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:27 AM7.7141537.6728+29.9586
63:32 AM2.2005430.1757+27.9752
123:38 AM0.44585817.4051+16.9593
183:44 AM1.0871520.0632+18.9761
243:50 AM1.24655.20588+3.95938
293:55 AM-0.5928355.28824+5.88107

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.