Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — E mini Nasdaq 100, 1 minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 3:16 AM to 3:45 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 16, 2026 at 3:16 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E mini Nasdaq 100 1 minute chart read 16.9654. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:45 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

0.606311.2321.85Sep 16, 3:16 AM ET3:45 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:16 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

0.606311.2321.85Sep 16, 3:16 AM ET3:45 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:16 AM ET16.9654
Projected value at 3:45 AM ET-0.004611
Actual value at 3:45 AM ET7.89559
Projected change across the window-16.9701
Actual change across the window-9.06985
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.87×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.87 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (3:18 AM ET), where they sat 0.897857 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (3:23 AM ET) with a gap of 12.2713. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (3:26 AM ET), a move of -3.87426. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:17 AM18.596116.9456-1.65051
63:22 AM11.391823.2757+11.8839
123:28 AM4.894367.89338+2.99902
183:34 AM0.1722525.90956+5.73731
243:40 AM-0.7296870.222059+0.951745
293:45 AM-0.0046117.89559+7.9002

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.