Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 1:29 AM to 1:58 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 1:29 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 12.4993. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:58 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.99-3.17410.64Sep 16, 1:29 AM ET1:58 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:29 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.99-3.17410.64Sep 16, 1:29 AM ET1:58 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:29 AM ET12.4993
Projected value at 1:58 AM ET-0.985328
Actual value at 1:58 AM ET0.760294
Projected change across the window-13.4846
Actual change across the window-11.739
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (1:53 AM ET), where they sat 0.0658108 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (1:45 AM ET) with a gap of 15.1811. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (1:41 AM ET), a move of -6.42132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:30 AM1.9340910.9206+8.9865
61:35 AM-1.364076.10956+7.47363
121:41 AM-3.64239-7.1625-3.52011
181:47 AM-3.6324-16.1838-12.5514
241:53 AM-1.69228-1.75809-0.0658108
291:58 AM-0.9853280.760294+1.74562

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.