Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 16, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 16, 2026, 12:13 AM to 12:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 16, 2026 at 12:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.84559. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.976-0.50075.974Sep 16, 12:13 AM ET12:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.976-0.50075.974Sep 16, 12:13 AM ET12:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:13 AM ET-7.84559
Projected value at 12:42 AM ET0.176226
Actual value at 12:42 AM ET-1.18309
Projected change across the window+8.02181
Actual change across the window+6.6625
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.20×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.20 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (12:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.602737 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:13 AM ET) with a gap of 9.89448. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (12:41 AM ET), a move of -2.94779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:14 AM1.49667-6.21691-7.71358
612:19 AM-0.773534-4.37941-3.60588
1212:25 AM-1.088512.66985+3.75837
1812:31 AM-1.050943.80588+4.85682
2412:37 AM-0.299576.68824+6.98781
2912:42 AM0.176226-1.18309-1.35931

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.