Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 11:56 PM to 12:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 11:56 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 5.68088. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.560.13867.837Sep 15, 11:56 PM ET12:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:56 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.560.13867.837Sep 15, 11:56 PM ET12:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:56 PM ET5.68088
Projected value at 12:25 AM ET-0.0259388
Actual value at 12:25 AM ET-4.57426
Projected change across the window-5.70682
Actual change across the window-10.2551
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (12:05 AM ET), where they sat 1.14639 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (12:12 AM ET) with a gap of 9.91709. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (12:08 AM ET), a move of -2.94779. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:57 PM7.723884.74412-2.97976
612:02 AM8.784775.20956-3.57521
1212:08 AM6.165321.42132-4.744
1812:14 AM2.10258-6.64632-8.7489
2412:20 AM-0.190518-8.12574-7.93522
2912:25 AM-0.0259388-4.57426-4.54833

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.