Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 11:41 PM to 12:10 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 11:41 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -5.59044. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:10 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.256-4.1071.043Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET12:10 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:41 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.256-4.1071.043Sep 15, 11:41 PM ET12:10 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:41 PM ET-5.59044
Projected value at 12:10 AM ET0.613661
Actual value at 12:10 AM ET-0.189706
Projected change across the window+6.2041
Actual change across the window+5.40074
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (11:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.0465117 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:41 PM ET) with a gap of 4.35735. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:52 PM ET), a move of +1.12794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:42 PM-7.93067-6.61471+1.31597
611:47 PM-7.34338-8.12059-0.777205
1211:53 PM-5.68212-5.21838+0.463735
1811:59 PM-0.737769-3.59559-2.85782
2412:05 AM1.50153-1.87279-3.37433
2912:10 AM0.613661-0.189706-0.803367

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.