Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 11:40 PM to 12:09 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 11:40 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -5.59044. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:09 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.07-5.734-0.3962Sep 15, 11:40 PM ET12:09 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:40 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.07-5.734-0.3962Sep 15, 11:40 PM ET12:09 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:40 PM ET-5.59044
Projected value at 12:09 AM ET-0.187818
Actual value at 12:09 AM ET-0.189706
Projected change across the window+5.40262
Actual change across the window+5.40074
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.00×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.00 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (12:09 AM ET), where they sat 0.00188746 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (11:40 PM ET) with a gap of 6.19914. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (11:51 PM ET), a move of +1.12794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:41 PM-10.7778-6.61471+4.16314
611:46 PM-9.56937-8.12059+1.44878
1211:52 PM-8.37964-5.21838+3.16126
1811:58 PM-3.03974-3.59559-0.555851
2412:04 AM0.0355289-1.87279-1.90832
2912:09 AM-0.187818-0.189706-0.00188746

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.