Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 11:39 PM to 12:08 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 11:39 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -6.61471. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:08 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.26-6.313-0.3637Sep 15, 11:39 PM ET12:08 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:39 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.26-6.313-0.3637Sep 15, 11:39 PM ET12:08 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:39 PM ET-6.61471
Projected value at 12:08 AM ET-0.0625795
Actual value at 12:08 AM ET0.435294
Projected change across the window+6.55213
Actual change across the window+7.05
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.93×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.93 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:07 AM ET), where they sat 0.217972 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (11:51 PM ET) with a gap of 6.69011. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (11:49 PM ET), a move of +1.12794. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:40 PM-12.7272-6.82426+5.90293
611:45 PM-12.3547-8.48382+3.87087
1211:51 PM-11.4335-4.74338+6.69011
1811:57 PM-6.07392-3.40294+2.67098
2412:03 AM-0.848887-1.79926-0.950377
2912:08 AM-0.06257950.435294+0.497874

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.