Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 11:03 PM to 11:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 11:03 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.58382. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-0.4558.02216.5Sep 15, 11:03 PM ET11:32 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-0.4558.02216.5Sep 15, 11:03 PM ET11:32 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:03 PM ET7.58382
Projected value at 11:32 PM ET0.439006
Actual value at 11:32 PM ET-1.59338
Projected change across the window-7.14482
Actual change across the window-9.17721
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.78 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:22 PM ET), where they sat 0.100443 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (11:07 PM ET) with a gap of 8.93825. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (11:26 PM ET), a move of -2.03235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:04 PM15.48617.95-7.53611
611:09 PM15.84959.32868-6.52082
1211:15 PM12.757713.375+0.617292
1811:21 PM7.807487.61544-0.192041
2411:27 PM3.21386-1.32721-4.54106
2911:32 PM0.439006-1.59338-2.03239

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.