Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 11:02 PM to 11:31 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 11:02 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 7.95. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:31 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-2.1035.59613.3Sep 15, 11:02 PM ET11:31 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:02 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-2.1035.59613.3Sep 15, 11:02 PM ET11:31 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:02 PM ET7.95
Projected value at 11:31 PM ET0.395803
Actual value at 11:31 PM ET-3.1375
Projected change across the window-7.5542
Actual change across the window-11.0875
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (11:18 PM ET), where they sat 0.107401 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (11:05 PM ET) with a gap of 5.82358. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (11:24 PM ET), a move of -2.03235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:03 PM11.76348.625-3.13838
611:08 PM13.29559.49706-3.79843
1211:14 PM11.136413.3051+2.1687
1811:20 PM6.307877.03382+0.725958
2411:26 PM2.523-1.10368-3.62668
2911:31 PM0.395803-3.1375-3.5333

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.