Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 8:42 PM to 9:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 8:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.52794. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.294-2.4432.408Sep 15, 8:42 PM ET9:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.294-2.4432.408Sep 15, 8:42 PM ET9:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:42 PM ET-7.52794
Projected value at 9:11 PM ET-0.446742
Actual value at 9:11 PM ET0.998529
Projected change across the window+7.0812
Actual change across the window+8.52647
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (9:03 PM ET), where they sat 0.393988 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:42 PM ET) with a gap of 9.93157. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (9:02 PM ET), a move of +2.35735. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:43 PM1.71381-6.56471-8.27851
68:48 PM1.31477-6.42132-7.7361
128:54 PM0.966055-5.87647-6.84253
189:00 PM-0.0139263-6.36618-6.35225
249:06 PM-0.1004273.05956+3.15999
299:11 PM-0.4467420.998529+1.44527

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.