Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 8:33 PM to 9:02 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 8:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -7.83971. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:02 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-12.72-4.5373.642Sep 15, 8:33 PM ET9:02 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-12.72-4.5373.642Sep 15, 8:33 PM ET9:02 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:33 PM ET-7.83971
Projected value at 9:02 PM ET-1.14658
Actual value at 9:02 PM ET-13.814
Projected change across the window+6.69313
Actual change across the window-5.97426
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.12×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.12 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (8:55 PM ET), where they sat 0.072405 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (9:02 PM ET) with a gap of 12.6674. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (8:58 PM ET), a move of -2.54412. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:34 PM4.74013-6.76691-11.507
68:39 PM3.23222-6.52426-9.75648
128:45 PM1.163431.29338+0.129957
188:51 PM0.5604151.43971+0.879291
248:57 PM0.122243-2.66838-2.79063
299:02 PM-1.14658-13.814-12.6674

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.