Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 8:03 PM to 8:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 8:03 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.9978. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.39-9.794-0.2035Sep 15, 8:03 PM ET8:32 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.39-9.794-0.2035Sep 15, 8:03 PM ET8:32 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:03 PM ET-15.9978
Projected value at 8:32 PM ET0.373859
Actual value at 8:32 PM ET-0.513971
Projected change across the window+16.3717
Actual change across the window+15.4838
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (8:30 PM ET), where they sat 0.524594 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (8:07 PM ET) with a gap of 14.6166. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (8:25 PM ET), a move of +3.93603. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:04 PM-4.20506-17.5088-13.3038
68:09 PM-5.6158-17.9875-12.3717
128:15 PM-4.88749-11.0265-6.13898
188:21 PM-3.27614-12.8529-9.5768
248:27 PM-1.264240.557353+1.82159
298:32 PM0.373859-0.513971-0.88783

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.