Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 7:06 PM to 7:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 7:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 9.40588. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-7.1890.58648.362Sep 15, 7:06 PM ET7:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-7.1890.58648.362Sep 15, 7:06 PM ET7:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:06 PM ET9.40588
Projected value at 7:35 PM ET-0.0923412
Actual value at 7:35 PM ET-8.23309
Projected change across the window-9.49822
Actual change across the window-17.639
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (7:17 PM ET), where they sat 0.00764083 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:07 PM ET) with a gap of 9.15244. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (7:32 PM ET), a move of -3.04191. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:07 PM-0.01420339.13824+9.15244
67:12 PM-0.877086-2.25221-1.37512
127:18 PM-0.822147-1.42426-0.602118
187:24 PM-0.766802-2.38235-1.61555
247:30 PM-0.2810572.93088+3.21194
297:35 PM-0.0923412-8.23309-8.14075

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.