Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 6:20 PM to 6:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 6:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.9434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.71-5.4338.844Sep 15, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.71-5.4338.844Sep 15, 6:20 PM ET6:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:20 PM ET-14.9434
Projected value at 6:49 PM ET-0.441557
Actual value at 6:49 PM ET-2.4125
Projected change across the window+14.5018
Actual change across the window+12.5309
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (6:45 PM ET), where they sat 0.322466 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (6:31 PM ET) with a gap of 20.1356. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (6:34 PM ET), a move of +4.98015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:21 PM-7.0641-14.3206-7.25649
66:26 PM-3.83134-11.7412-7.90984
126:32 PM-0.917555-19.9772-19.0597
186:38 PM0.278359-0.963235-1.24159
246:44 PM0.3755214.68235+4.30683
296:49 PM-0.441557-2.4125-1.97094

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.