Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 6:12 PM to 6:41 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 6:12 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -11.7412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:41 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-19.71-5.4338.844Sep 15, 6:12 PM ET6:41 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:12 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-19.71-5.4338.844Sep 15, 6:12 PM ET6:41 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:12 PM ET-11.7412
Projected value at 6:41 PM ET-0.311595
Actual value at 6:41 PM ET6.37721
Projected change across the window+11.4296
Actual change across the window+18.1184
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (6:35 PM ET), where they sat 0.41293 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (6:27 PM ET) with a gap of 17.7422. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (6:20 PM ET), a move of +4.98015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:13 PM-15.144-12.5243+2.6197
66:18 PM-13.2275-19.9772-6.7497
126:24 PM-9.32022-0.963235+8.35698
186:30 PM-5.09034.68235+9.77265
246:36 PM-1.64365-0.579412+1.06423
296:41 PM-0.3115956.37721+6.6888

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.