Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 6:06 PM to 6:35 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 6:06 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -19.9772. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:35 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.95-2.86212.23Sep 15, 6:06 PM ET6:35 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:06 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.95-2.86212.23Sep 15, 6:06 PM ET6:35 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:06 PM ET-19.9772
Projected value at 6:35 PM ET-0.461945
Actual value at 6:35 PM ET14.2529
Projected change across the window+19.5153
Actual change across the window+34.2301
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (6:08 PM ET), where they sat 0.242793 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (6:15 PM ET) with a gap of 19.7061. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:08 PM ET), a move of +4.98015. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:07 PM-9.31804-15.15-5.83196
66:12 PM-10.1782-0.963235+9.21495
126:18 PM-7.840554.68235+12.5229
186:24 PM-5.72909-0.579412+5.14968
246:30 PM-2.039517.74632+9.78584
296:35 PM-0.46194514.2529+14.7149

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.