Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 1:32 PM to 2:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 1:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -23.8941. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.33-10.661.013Sep 15, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.33-10.661.013Sep 15, 1:32 PM ET2:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 PM ET-23.8941
Projected value at 2:01 PM ET-1.24442
Actual value at 2:01 PM ET-0.636765
Projected change across the window+22.6497
Actual change across the window+23.2574
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.97×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.97 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (1:53 PM ET), where they sat 0.328793 apart, and furthest at bar 11 (1:43 PM ET) with a gap of 19.3765. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (1:34 PM ET), a move of +6.43235. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:33 PM-3.26634-20.6581-17.3918
61:38 PM0.81305-9.44044-10.2535
121:44 PM0.231694-17.714-17.9457
181:50 PM0.557359-6.26544-6.8228
241:56 PM0.9172462.28529+1.36805
292:01 PM-1.24442-0.636765+0.607656

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.