Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 12:51 PM to 1:20 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 12:51 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 26.5243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:20 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-5.8039.34424.49Sep 15, 12:51 PM ET1:20 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:51 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-5.8039.34424.49Sep 15, 12:51 PM ET1:20 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:51 PM ET26.5243
Projected value at 1:20 PM ET0.378823
Actual value at 1:20 PM ET6.84779
Projected change across the window-26.1454
Actual change across the window-19.6765
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.33×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.33 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (1:05 PM ET), where they sat 0.0514833 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:51 PM ET) with a gap of 32.4417. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 3 (12:54 PM ET), a move of -7.74706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:52 PM-6.8184122.2243+29.0427
612:57 PM-5.00124-4.28235+0.718891
121:03 PM-2.310222.46397+4.77419
181:09 PM-1.67197-7.19265-5.52068
241:15 PM-0.261279-7.48676-7.22549
291:20 PM0.3788236.84779+6.46897

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.