Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 12:50 PM to 1:19 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 12:50 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 22.2243. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:19 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.0577.19420.44Sep 15, 12:50 PM ET1:19 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:50 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.0577.19420.44Sep 15, 12:50 PM ET1:19 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:50 PM ET22.2243
Projected value at 1:19 PM ET0.424871
Actual value at 1:19 PM ET9.77794
Projected change across the window-21.7994
Actual change across the window-12.4463
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.75×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.75 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (1:09 PM ET), where they sat 0.210129 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:50 PM ET) with a gap of 26.6274. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (12:52 PM ET), a move of -7.74706. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:51 PM-6.1817116.4728+22.6545
612:56 PM-5.64558-4.24779+1.39779
121:02 PM-3.092510.893382+3.98589
181:08 PM-0.931409-3.56176-2.63036
241:14 PM-0.274416-7.38088-7.10647
291:19 PM0.4248719.77794+9.35307

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.