Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 9:59 AM to 10:28 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 9:59 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 37.014. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:28 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

2.0423.6645.29Sep 15, 9:59 AM ET10:28 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:59 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

2.0423.6645.29Sep 15, 9:59 AM ET10:28 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:59 AM ET37.014
Projected value at 10:28 AM ET-0.864029
Actual value at 10:28 AM ET2.47721
Projected change across the window-37.878
Actual change across the window-34.5368
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading21 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.10×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.10 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 21 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (10:28 AM ET), where they sat 3.34123 apart, and furthest at bar 7 (10:06 AM ET) with a gap of 37.2717. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (10:21 AM ET), a move of -4.68162. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:00 AM10.646840.7368+30.09
610:05 AM11.025847.6507+36.6249
1210:11 AM4.524330.5059+25.9816
1810:17 AM2.3931426.8125+24.4194
2410:23 AM2.987648.43897+5.45133
2910:28 AM-0.8640292.47721+3.34123

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.