Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 9:58 AM to 10:27 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 9:58 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 40.7368. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:27 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

1.98923.6445.28Sep 15, 9:58 AM ET10:27 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:58 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

1.98923.6445.28Sep 15, 9:58 AM ET10:27 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:58 AM ET40.7368
Projected value at 10:27 AM ET0.816456
Actual value at 10:27 AM ET-0.917647
Projected change across the window-39.9203
Actual change across the window-41.6544
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.96×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.96 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.11875 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (10:01 AM ET) with a gap of 38.7263. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (10:19 AM ET), a move of -4.68162. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:59 AM7.3220243.7728+36.4508
610:04 AM9.2547447.2456+37.9908
1210:10 AM3.6819928.9713+25.2893
1810:16 AM2.2133825.1434+22.93
2410:22 AM1.716647.55+5.83336
2910:27 AM0.816456-0.917647-1.7341

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.