Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 9:22 AM to 9:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 9:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -20.0419. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-18.82-9.718-0.616Sep 15, 9:22 AM ET9:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-18.82-9.718-0.616Sep 15, 9:22 AM ET9:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:22 AM ET-20.0419
Projected value at 9:51 AM ET0.606346
Actual value at 9:51 AM ET-9.46765
Projected change across the window+20.6483
Actual change across the window+10.5743
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (9:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.115965 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (9:51 AM ET) with a gap of 10.074. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (9:42 AM ET), a move of +2.85074. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:23 AM-16.1353-18.0882-1.95297
69:28 AM-7.52636-9.62206-2.0957
129:34 AM-3.87939-0.291912+3.58748
189:40 AM-2.45048-8.78456-6.33408
249:46 AM0.215699-4.6875-4.9032
299:51 AM0.606346-9.46765-10.074

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.