Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 8:04 AM to 8:33 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 8:04 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -29.439. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:33 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-27.32-11.524.28Sep 15, 8:04 AM ET8:33 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:04 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-27.32-11.524.28Sep 15, 8:04 AM ET8:33 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:04 AM ET-29.439
Projected value at 8:33 AM ET0.758731
Actual value at 8:33 AM ET3.96324
Projected change across the window+30.1977
Actual change across the window+33.4022
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (8:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.369493 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:04 AM ET) with a gap of 35.8409. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (8:31 AM ET), a move of +4.02132. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:05 AM3.59192-26.5654-30.1574
68:10 AM-0.79804-25.564-24.7659
128:16 AM-2.09778-18.5684-16.4706
188:22 AM-2.22756-22.1279-19.9004
248:28 AM-0.793681-8.29118-7.4975
298:33 AM0.7587313.96324+3.2045

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.