Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 7:43 AM to 8:12 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 7:43 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -15.3699. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:12 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15-1.32812.35Sep 15, 7:43 AM ET8:12 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:43 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15-1.32812.35Sep 15, 7:43 AM ET8:12 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:43 AM ET-15.3699
Projected value at 8:12 AM ET0.777248
Actual value at 8:12 AM ET-4.96397
Projected change across the window+16.1471
Actual change across the window+10.4059
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (8:03 AM ET), where they sat 0.342212 apart, and furthest at bar 16 (7:59 AM ET) with a gap of 16.1118. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (8:03 AM ET), a move of -5.51618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:44 AM-10.6033-12.9162-2.31283
67:49 AM-7.469680.642647+8.11233
127:55 AM-3.78031.58676+5.36707
188:01 AM-1.2232510.3662+11.5894
248:07 AM-0.760869-16.8382-16.0774
298:12 AM0.777248-4.96397-5.74122

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.