Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:59 AM to 6:28 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:59 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 32.7375. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:28 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.83512.9835.8Sep 15, 5:59 AM ET6:28 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:59 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.83512.9835.8Sep 15, 5:59 AM ET6:28 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:59 AM ET32.7375
Projected value at 6:28 AM ET-0.906301
Actual value at 6:28 AM ET-12.8993
Projected change across the window-33.6438
Actual change across the window-45.6368
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.74×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.74 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (6:26 AM ET), where they sat 1.92059 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (6:11 AM ET) with a gap of 26.9356. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (6:13 AM ET), a move of -6.21838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:00 AM31.692536.8559+5.16334
66:05 AM19.157232.575+13.4178
126:11 AM8.9548435.8904+26.9356
186:17 AM3.311988.59118+5.2792
246:23 AM-0.3303997.52206+7.85246
296:28 AM-0.906301-12.8993-11.993

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.