Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:56 AM to 6:25 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:56 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 38.8632. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:25 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-17.612.742.99Sep 15, 5:56 AM ET6:25 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:56 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-17.612.742.99Sep 15, 5:56 AM ET6:25 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:56 AM ET38.8632
Projected value at 6:25 AM ET-2.00864
Actual value at 6:25 AM ET-21.6647
Projected change across the window-40.8719
Actual change across the window-60.5279
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 7 (6:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.279214 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:25 AM ET) with a gap of 19.6561. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 12 (6:08 AM ET), a move of -6.21838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:57 AM45.710237.011-8.69915
66:02 AM34.568634.8478+0.279214
126:08 AM20.442425.6375+5.1951
186:14 AM10.715112.4074+1.69227
246:20 AM2.004491.3625-0.64199
296:25 AM-2.00864-21.6647-19.6561

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.