Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:54 AM to 6:23 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:54 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 34.1912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:23 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.149.95243.04Sep 15, 5:54 AM ET6:23 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:54 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.149.95243.04Sep 15, 5:54 AM ET6:23 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:54 AM ET34.1912
Projected value at 6:23 AM ET1.10527
Actual value at 6:23 AM ET-27.5794
Projected change across the window-33.0859
Actual change across the window-61.7706
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (5:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.909553 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (6:23 AM ET) with a gap of 28.6847. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (6:03 AM ET), a move of -6.21838. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:55 AM46.183232.575-13.6082
66:00 AM33.085836.0162+2.9304
126:06 AM21.12179.66912-11.4525
186:12 AM11.8939.12353-2.76945
246:18 AM3.92469-12.8993-16.824
296:23 AM1.10527-27.5794-28.6847

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.