Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:22 AM to 5:51 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:22 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -32.2. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:51 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.31-18.77-2.225Sep 15, 5:22 AM ET5:51 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:22 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.31-18.77-2.225Sep 15, 5:22 AM ET5:51 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:22 AM ET-32.2
Projected value at 5:51 AM ET-0.00317516
Actual value at 5:51 AM ET-0.982353
Projected change across the window+32.1968
Actual change across the window+31.2176
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:51 AM ET), where they sat 0.979178 apart, and furthest at bar 5 (5:27 AM ET) with a gap of 23.1793. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (5:32 AM ET), a move of +4.16985. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:23 AM-18.066-34.6691-16.6032
65:28 AM-14-36.6162-22.6162
125:34 AM-9.22671-22.8243-13.5976
185:40 AM-5.45349-20.0978-14.6443
245:46 AM-2.24045-9.62574-7.38528
295:51 AM-0.00317516-0.982353-0.979178

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.