Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:21 AM to 5:50 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -34.6691. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:50 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.26-18.35-1.432Sep 15, 5:21 AM ET5:50 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:21 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.26-18.35-1.432Sep 15, 5:21 AM ET5:50 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:21 AM ET-34.6691
Projected value at 5:50 AM ET0.376236
Actual value at 5:50 AM ET0.839706
Projected change across the window+35.0454
Actual change across the window+35.5088
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.99×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.99 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:50 AM ET), where they sat 0.46347 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (5:25 AM ET) with a gap of 24.0182. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (5:30 AM ET), a move of +4.16985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:22 AM-19.2878-36.5875-17.2997
65:27 AM-12.2846-35.9971-23.7125
125:33 AM-7.96575-21.2206-13.2548
185:39 AM-4.43005-18.4684-14.0383
245:45 AM-0.495207-9.44559-8.95038
295:50 AM0.3762360.839706+0.46347

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.