Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:20 AM to 5:49 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:20 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -36.5875. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:49 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.23-18.08-0.9291Sep 15, 5:20 AM ET5:49 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:20 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.23-18.08-0.9291Sep 15, 5:20 AM ET5:49 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:20 AM ET-36.5875
Projected value at 5:49 AM ET-0.737655
Actual value at 5:49 AM ET1.37426
Projected change across the window+35.8498
Actual change across the window+37.9618
Bars moving the same direction27 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 93% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (5:47 AM ET), where they sat 0.131351 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:20 AM ET) with a gap of 17.6515. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (5:28 AM ET), a move of +4.16985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:21 AM-21.9483-36.5118-14.5635
65:26 AM-18.8797-34.8507-15.971
125:32 AM-12.6116-20.4243-7.81268
185:38 AM-8.2726-16.9434-8.67078
245:44 AM-3.51715-8.82941-5.31226
295:49 AM-0.7376551.37426+2.11192

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.