Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 5:17 AM to 5:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 5:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -36.8985. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.23-18.08-0.9291Sep 15, 5:17 AM ET5:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.23-18.08-0.9291Sep 15, 5:17 AM ET5:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:17 AM ET-36.8985
Projected value at 5:46 AM ET-1.95368
Actual value at 5:46 AM ET-1.36838
Projected change across the window+34.9448
Actual change across the window+35.5301
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.585302 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (5:18 AM ET) with a gap of 26.9272. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (5:23 AM ET), a move of +4.16985. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:18 AM-10.6059-37.5331-26.9272
65:23 AM-10.2058-28.6478-18.442
125:29 AM-7.61695-19.8794-12.2625
185:35 AM-4.15979-12.6529-8.49315
245:41 AM-2.57121-4.74412-2.1729
295:46 AM-1.95368-1.36838+0.585302

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.