Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 4:40 AM to 5:09 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 4:40 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -24.9603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:09 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-23.49-12.56-1.635Sep 15, 4:40 AM ET5:09 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-23.49-12.56-1.635Sep 15, 4:40 AM ET5:09 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:40 AM ET-24.9603
Projected value at 5:09 AM ET-0.298993
Actual value at 5:09 AM ET-8.81324
Projected change across the window+24.6613
Actual change across the window+16.1471
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.53 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:09 AM ET), where they sat 8.51424 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:40 AM ET) with a gap of 22.0127. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (4:55 AM ET), a move of +2.21397. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:41 AM-2.89723-24.5757-21.6785
64:46 AM-6.48878-20.8132-14.3245
124:52 AM-7.69886-22.0375-14.3386
184:58 AM-3.10827-12.0015-8.89321
245:04 AM-0.551605-11.6559-11.1043
295:09 AM-0.298993-8.81324-8.51424

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.