Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 4:09 AM to 4:38 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 4:09 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -9.69338. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:38 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-48.6-25.88-3.152Sep 15, 4:09 AM ET4:38 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:09 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-48.6-25.88-3.152Sep 15, 4:09 AM ET4:38 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:09 AM ET-9.69338
Projected value at 4:38 AM ET-0.0999825
Actual value at 4:38 AM ET-1.84265
Projected change across the window+9.5934
Actual change across the window+7.85074
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (4:36 AM ET), where they sat 0.042753 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (4:11 AM ET) with a gap of 33.9272. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (4:20 AM ET), a move of +3.73824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:10 AM-45.0362-11.7647+33.2715
64:15 AM-46.0193-22.189+23.8304
124:21 AM-31.0824-12.8346+18.2478
184:27 AM-19.2779-3.95588+15.322
244:33 AM-7.99531-2.19779+5.79751
294:38 AM-0.0999825-1.84265-1.74266

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.