Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 4:06 AM to 4:35 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 4:06 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.975. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:35 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.52-17.06-1.603Sep 15, 4:06 AM ET4:35 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:06 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.52-17.06-1.603Sep 15, 4:06 AM ET4:35 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:06 AM ET-14.975
Projected value at 4:35 AM ET0.472905
Actual value at 4:35 AM ET-1.3125
Projected change across the window+15.4479
Actual change across the window+13.6625
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading26 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.13×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.13 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 26 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (4:32 AM ET), where they sat 0.453405 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:06 AM ET) with a gap of 19.6262. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (4:15 AM ET), a move of +3.73824. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:07 AM-33.7396-18.1574+15.5822
64:12 AM-26.6124-22.4794+4.13304
124:18 AM-16.8863-6.61985+10.2664
184:24 AM-8.31608-1.55809+6.75799
244:30 AM-4.62528-3.69485+0.930422
294:35 AM0.472905-1.3125-1.78541

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.