Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 3:17 AM to 3:46 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 3:17 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.34412. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:46 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-14.63-6.7281.17Sep 15, 3:17 AM ET3:46 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:17 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-14.63-6.7281.17Sep 15, 3:17 AM ET3:46 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:17 AM ET-8.34412
Projected value at 3:46 AM ET-0.664088
Actual value at 3:46 AM ET-0.484559
Projected change across the window+7.68003
Actual change across the window+7.85956
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading18 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 18 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (3:46 AM ET), where they sat 0.179529 apart, and furthest at bar 15 (3:32 AM ET) with a gap of 9.86966. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (3:26 AM ET), a move of +2.05588. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:18 AM-15.6116-8.67132+6.94024
63:23 AM-10.3115-5.8875+4.42401
123:29 AM-8.779410.589706+9.36912
183:35 AM-6.191282.08603+8.27731
243:41 AM-1.738030.860294+2.59833
293:46 AM-0.664088-0.484559+0.179529

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.