Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 2:59 AM to 3:28 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 2:59 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read 2.08603. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:28 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.033-2.2291.575Sep 15, 2:59 AM ET3:28 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:59 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.033-2.2291.575Sep 15, 2:59 AM ET3:28 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:59 AM ET2.08603
Projected value at 3:28 AM ET-0.82333
Actual value at 3:28 AM ET-0.751471
Projected change across the window-2.90936
Actual change across the window-2.8375
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (3:21 AM ET), where they sat 0.0445156 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:59 AM ET) with a gap of 8.62941. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (3:14 AM ET), a move of +1.40956. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:00 AM-3.853131.33824+5.19136
63:05 AM0.6529570.860294+0.207337
123:11 AM0.5122160.359559-0.152658
183:17 AM0.2786442.07868+1.80003
243:23 AM-0.08383130.222794+0.306625
293:28 AM-0.82333-0.751471+0.0718592

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.