Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 1:34 AM to 2:03 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 1:34 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -8.29926. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:03 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-6.8553.89614.65Sep 15, 1:34 AM ET2:03 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:34 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-6.8553.89614.65Sep 15, 1:34 AM ET2:03 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:34 AM ET-8.29926
Projected value at 2:03 AM ET-0.488775
Actual value at 2:03 AM ET-2.98676
Projected change across the window+7.81049
Actual change across the window+5.3125
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.47×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.47 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (1:59 AM ET), where they sat 0.282196 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:36 AM ET) with a gap of 19.7546. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (1:38 AM ET), a move of +2.89485. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:35 AM11.7164-7.16029-18.8767
61:40 AM15.98653.91912-12.0674
121:46 AM13.39817.04485-6.35325
181:52 AM9.001055.875-3.12605
241:58 AM3.462541.61103-1.85151
292:03 AM-0.488775-2.98676-2.49799

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.