Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 1:32 AM to 2:01 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 1:32 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -2.425. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:01 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-4.8481.6128.072Sep 15, 1:32 AM ET2:01 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:32 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-4.8481.6128.072Sep 15, 1:32 AM ET2:01 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:32 AM ET-2.425
Projected value at 2:01 AM ET-0.755957
Actual value at 2:01 AM ET-4.17279
Projected change across the window+1.66904
Actual change across the window-1.74779
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.95×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.95 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (1:43 AM ET), where they sat 0.33985 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:32 AM ET) with a gap of 6.33885. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:33 AM ET), a move of +2.89485. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:33 AM4.835930.469853-4.36608
61:38 AM7.205295.14265-2.06264
121:44 AM8.680858.11912-0.561735
181:50 AM6.082323.54412-2.5382
241:56 AM2.259540.883088-1.37645
292:01 AM-0.755957-4.17279-3.41684

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.