Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 15, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 15, 2026, 12:03 AM to 12:32 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 15, 2026 at 12:03 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -0.116912. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:32 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21-10.250.4875Sep 15, 12:03 AM ET12:32 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:03 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21-10.250.4875Sep 15, 12:03 AM ET12:32 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:03 AM ET-0.116912
Projected value at 12:32 AM ET0.555944
Actual value at 12:32 AM ET0.335294
Projected change across the window+0.672856
Actual change across the window+0.452206
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.49×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.49 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (12:31 AM ET), where they sat 0.0283295 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (12:03 AM ET) with a gap of 22.2733. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (12:05 AM ET), a move of -2.39779. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:04 AM-22.3911-1.93603+20.4551
612:09 AM-19.3214-5.09559+14.2258
1212:15 AM-13.5156-0.355882+13.1597
1812:21 AM-6.605780.888235+7.49402
2412:27 AM-1.7811-1.41691+0.364189
2912:32 AM0.5559440.335294-0.22065

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.