Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 10:25 PM to 10:54 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 10:25 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -14.9757. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:54 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-15.05-2.6129.825Sep 14, 10:25 PM ET10:54 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:25 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-15.05-2.6129.825Sep 14, 10:25 PM ET10:54 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:25 PM ET-14.9757
Projected value at 10:54 PM ET0.418847
Actual value at 10:54 PM ET9.43897
Projected change across the window+15.3946
Actual change across the window+24.4147
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.63×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.63 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (10:44 PM ET), where they sat 1.3351 apart, and furthest at bar 9 (10:34 PM ET) with a gap of 17.7892. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 18 (10:43 PM ET), a move of +3.01618. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:26 PM-2.39146-14.1206-11.7291
610:31 PM1.20311-15.1412-16.3443
1210:37 PM1.60683-12.2257-13.8326
1810:43 PM1.678760.192647-1.48611
2410:49 PM1.3001210.8066+9.5065
2910:54 PM0.4188479.43897+9.02012

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.