Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — E-mini Nasdaq 100, 1-minute chart, September 14, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 14, 2026, 8:18 PM to 8:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 14, 2026 at 8:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the E-mini Nasdaq 100 1-minute chart read -21.2397. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.29-9.7652.762Sep 14, 8:18 PM ET8:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.29-9.7652.762Sep 14, 8:18 PM ET8:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:18 PM ET-21.2397
Projected value at 8:47 PM ET0.149427
Actual value at 8:47 PM ET4.44412
Projected change across the window+21.3891
Actual change across the window+25.6838
Bars moving the same direction26 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.83×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.83 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 90% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (8:40 PM ET), where they sat 0.135511 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:18 PM ET) with a gap of 17.3399. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (8:31 PM ET), a move of +3.00368. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:19 PM-6.87269-22.4088-15.5361
68:24 PM-8.68123-20.7544-12.0732
128:30 PM-6.09701-10.9875-4.89049
188:36 PM-3.21822-1.66176+1.55646
248:42 PM-2.38014-3.08603-0.70589
298:47 PM0.1494274.44412+4.29469

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of E-mini Nasdaq 100 activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.